Pinellas County Population
Among Florida’s 67 counties, Pinellas County has the sixth largest total county population and seventh largest youth population in Florida. It also has the highest population density of all Florida counties, over 3,000 people per square mile, placing it in the top 1% of all counties in the U.S.
The 2000 Census reported Pinellas County’s total population at 921,482. Pinellas’ 2009 population was estimated at 909,013 by the U.S. Census Bureau and 931,113 by the University of Florida’s Bureau of Economic and Business Research (BEBR), a difference of 2.4%. The difference between the two estimates reflects different methods of estimating county population and the 2010 census should reveal which approach is more accurate. The estimates and projections in the remainder of this section are from BEBR - the Census Bureau does not issue long-term population projections by age group, race and ethnicity at the county level.
Population Estimates and Projections
Each year, BEBR releases detailed population estimates and projections for all Florida counties by age group, race and ethnicity. Projections include estimates for the prior year as well as long-term projections in 5-year increments covering the 2010-2030 period. These estimates and projections are used by the Florida Legislature’s Office of Economic and Demographic Research for forecasting economic and social trends that affect policy making, revenues and appropriations. Based on a review of the recently released 2010 projections for Pinellas County, future population growth is projected to be fractionally above that expected one year-ago. The remainder of this section presents the details of these forecasts.
Historical and Projected Growth of Pinellas County Population
The chart below shows the historical and projected growth of Pinellas County’s total and youth population. Please note the use of two scales - left side of chart for total population and right side of chart for youth population.
- Between 1970 and 2009, Pinellas County’s total population was estimated to have increased at an average annual rate of 1.5% to 931,100, a total increase of 78%. During this same period, Pinellas’ 0-17 youth population is estimated to have grown at an average annual rate of 0.9% to 174,400, an overall gain of 44%. In comparison, Florida’s population increased at a more rapid average annual growth rate of 2.6% and 1.7%, respectively.
Pinellas County’s total population is projected to increase only 0.7% between 2009 and 2030. Pinellas’ youth population, however, is projected to decline 9.4% during the same period. As shown in the chart below, the growth of Pinellas’ youth population is projected to be far below that of Florida as well as counties of comparable size.